But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Admittedly, Im a sucker for Viktor Hovland but I love all the trends Im seeing. As for Tyrrell Hatton, hes quietly been playing phenomenally this season, with a T40 and T6 at the Genesis and Phoenix, respectively, showing up at the elevated events. RELATED: Arnold Palmer: 10 rules for a golf life. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. Four of the previous five champions have won with scores around 21- to 22-under par. Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. by Mastercard. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Hahn enters this week in the midst of an 8-event stretch in which hes gained strokes on approach. Skip to main content. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. Note:All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Farmers: Jason Day. Given that he also has a win and a T2 in his past three starts here, I think he asserts himself on the leaderboard this week. Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. Everything with his game is clicking right now. I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesnt mean we cant take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. For example, Kim was one of the most popular up-and-comers out of the gates in 2023. Rory McIlroy has become a horse at The Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances. Hes made it through the cut in each trip to TPC Scottsdale, highlighted by a T17 in 2021. Lets get to our 2023 WM Phoenix Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. Its a good number if nothing else. Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). For the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including two players in his top 10 who are priced at almost 30-1. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. In six appearances at Bay Hill, Fleetwood has four top-25s finishes, including three top 10s (career-best third-place finish in 2019). RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our DFS expert dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. Last weeks champion and new World No. Im sure hell make the cut, but I dont see him finishing top 10. Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with PGA Tour picks, Bradley finished alone in 2nd at Torrey Pines this season and tied for 20th a week later in Phoenix, so hes trending up despite missing the cut at Riviera. After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. Top-10 results from the Honda Classic: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Eric Cole +900); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Chris Kirk +330); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 17 (up 17.6 units); Mayo: 6 for 16 (up 12.1 units); Gehman: 5 for 17 (up 9.55 units); Lack: 3 for 8 (up 2.9 units); Hennessey: 4 for 17 (up 2.85 units); Powers: 2 for 17 (down 8.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 17 (down 8.95 units). Golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad, who correctly called He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. Hes been electric at Bay Hill, teeing it up 11 times. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. Hes also top-30 in scoring on par 3s longer than 200 yards and par-4s over 500 yards, two huge buckets here at Bay Hill. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. 9 this week. That makes Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance of premium importance. One of the TOURs most iconic stops, Colonial is a par 70 We provide this information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. Hes not backing down. Ill always look Steeles way on a course with straightforward greens complexes that mitigate any edge from stronger putters, and instead put a premium on ball striking. Another week, another punt on Byeong-hun An. Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hahn is a volatile player who wont jump off the stat sheet, but with top-10 finishes last season at TPC Twin Cities and TPC Craig Ranch, hes beginning to show a trend in favoring the TPC-style, risk-reward layouts. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, Former Masters champ is our long-shot bet in LA: 2023 Genesis Invitational odds, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 1 groupings for Thursday, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Absolutely horrendous: Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hills juicy rough, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, Is a 7-wood, 3-hybrid or 3-iron most suitable for your game? All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Keegan is also one of the best in proximity on Par 3:150-200 yards, so he should have what it takes to survive the infamous Bear Trap, which features two par 3s measuring 179 and Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. The Twitter handle is a joke. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own! In a field as top-heavy as this one with so many elite options, a safe, high floor value player is going to be a must for DFS lineup construction purposes. >. The PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed. Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). Genesis: Justin Thomas. Adam Scott has a stellar career record at the Genesis Invitational. Kirk will take home the top Like comment Flip Up to $1,250 on Caesars. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. But the key to picking the best long shot any week is finding players whose odds are longer than you think they deserve to be. For a deeper dive into the course, read my WM Phoenix Open preview. Full Leaderboard . Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Who has won the most US Masters titles? Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. 2 Rory McIlroy at +1000. One of the shortest hitters on TOUR, hell enjoy the added distance boost in store at elevation in TPC Scottsdales firm and fast conditions. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. The Arnold Palmer Invitational RSM Classic: Davis Riley. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 Riley Hamel. No, he is not a tout. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? Skip to navigation. It is an attractive, rolling course that is well maintained with well-mowed and You read that correctly: Not only did he finish T4 last year, but he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020. World No. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return. There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Tony Finau are the only other players under +3000. Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau His game with the way hes hitting the ball right now should suit Bay Hill and we should see him improve from a T17 at the API a year ago. Jon Rahm is the betting favorite this week at +700, just ahead of Rory McIlroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000. 2nd Chance Bet Its even more encouraging to see that Conners has found early success on these greens, gaining strokes putting in two of his first three appearances at this event. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. Woods has never won at Riviera and enters the week at 150/1. Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. (Photo by Luke Walker/Getty Images), Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. American Express: Brian Harman. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Lowry is coming off a good week in Palm Beach Gardens but hasnt been able to solve Bay Hill. Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. The Irishman was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back. Shipping on most Impact Label products Riley Hamel. He hit another 25-1 shotat the Houston Open, taking Tony Finau to win. 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